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@2022 – All Right Reserved. Designed and Developed by PenciDesign.

Articles

Time for “Finance” has arrived

by Robin Banerjee November 17, 2023
written by Robin Banerjee

When I was a kid, most of my friends wanted to become an engineer, doctor, or pilot. As time passed, the fad for IT professionals soared, with many youngsters bagging good assignments in the developed world. Of late, Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining skills have been sought after, including using AI to make some quick bucks in the stock markets through algo trading by automating trading decisions.

Many of you, however, will be surprised to know that the ‘finance’ skill possessors have become one of the most bankable professionals in recent times. If you are a CFO or almost there, possessing professional qualifications like CA, CMA, or a credible MBA (Finance), you are likely to receive a lot of Head-hunter calls.

You may have recently read a beautiful article by Mannu Arora on this platform (ETCFO, I mean) that – ‘CFO shortage looms as demand soars amid IPO revival’. And it is so very true.

Let me try to put forth the picture as it is emerging for the ‘finance’ folks, especially those with experience. Of course, professionally qualified freshers will also be required to learn by undertaking routine kinds of stuff.

1. Equity money: In the second half of this financial year, there will be over 70 companies that are likely to access the public equity market in India, planning to raise about $11 billion (Rs 90,000 crore). And this figure does not include the SMEs, where over 150 companies are trying to raise around Rs 3,700 crore. (Between Jan to Oct 23, over 180 firms have gone public in India, more than in any other full year, beating the US, Hong Kong, and China hollow). These IPO-raising exercises obviously need skills, and who else except the well-oiled finance folks?

2. Debt raising: It is common knowledge that for every Rs 100 raised as equity, there is space to raise another Rs 200 as borrowings. So, someone has to prepare business cases, projections, and IRR (profitability) numbers to raise the so-called double the amount of equity. Lenders need finance folks to prepare the stories of why they should lend, how well the cash flows in the future would stack up to ensure timely payment of interest and principal amounts, and much more.

3. Investors and growth market: The good news is that India is likely to register the highest growth rate among major economies this year. In the midst of global uncertainties, the country displays political stability, a young and growing labour force, and a rising middle class, all of which are making the country the darling of foreign investors. Investors are lurking around the corner to be attracted to credible India-centric entrepreneur-led investment stories to be communicated by the finance team.

4. China plus one: India is the landing spot for manufacturers looking for alternatives to China as a supply chain base. With PLI incentives carved out for 14 industry sectors, world-class corporate tax rates, and
digitization of the economy, India has become a preferred port of call for most investors. They need loads of information from the finance team before investing their FDI money.

5. Supply Chain bolstering: India stands on clearly visible four pillars of growth: the forging of a single national market, post-GST; shift in renewable energy resulting in industry expansion; move in supply chains away from China towards India; and a high-tech welfare oriented safety-net for the hundreds of millions through the India stack and UPI related system. These developments boil down to enhanced supply chain management. Good finance minds will be required to manage and control these growth areas.

6. Largest economy: You are all aware that India is now the 5 th largest economy in the world and is likely to be the 3 rd largest by 2028 or so. You may be pleasantly surprised to know that India is likely to beat the total GDP of the whole of the whole of European Union (27 countries) by 2050 and the USA itself as the largest GDP country on earth by 2075. Yes, there is every likelihood of this happening, give and take a few years. And this growth will need money. Not only sourcing it but also deploying it appropriately with proper internal control and processes. Every penny invested should provide an adequate return on investment, and someone needs to be hawk-eyed – who else but the finance fellows?

Few last words

This decade belongs to India. And nothing is possible without people.

India would need good resources. Surely, the country would need good engineers, doctors, nurses, IT, human resources, salespersons, marketers, lawyers, and more. But, to put it all together and help maximize returns, skills in financing, accounting, MIS, costing, and auditing would be paramount.

Think of the symphony orchestra consisting of dozens of musicians with varied instruments. And yet, they are always in sync with each other. The orchestra conductor plays the role of bringing the musical to life. So is the role of the CFO and its Team. They are the conductor of an organization to deliver results seamlessly by eliminating bad noises of disharmony and setting proper controls. Hence dil-maange-more for Finance Services!

About the Author: Robin Banerjee is the Chairman of Nucleon Research Pvt Ltd, a global clinical research company. Earlier, he served as the Managing Director of Caprihans India Ltd. Robin has authored 3 bestselling business nonfiction books: (i) Who Cheats and How; (ii) Who Blunders and How; and (iii) Corporate Frauds: Bigger, Broader, Bolder.

November 17, 2023 0 comment
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NFRA Unplugged
Articles

NFRA Unplugged

by Robin Banerjee August 14, 2023
written by Robin Banerjee

Would it not be wonderful if the world would have been fraud-free; all businesses performing virtuously; all human behaviors standing on ethical platforms? But this is not to be. Fraudsters and tricksters are all around us.

Society, therefore, has built-in checks and balances to make the world as much tidy and fair as is feasible. One of the foundations to build a cleaner business world is the ‘statutory auditors’.

The key question is – what if the auditors do not perform their tasks diligently?

Here comes the auditor regulator, which is known in India as the National Financial Reporting Authority (NFRA). This independent body overlooks the accounting and auditors of listed and large companies.

It is five years since NFRA got established. Being young, there are gaps in the understanding of the Indian commercial world as to what this regulator is doing.

Hard facts are tough to digest

Let me tell you a few of the recent orders of NFRA where they have pulled up the auditors for lack of proper work. In fact, auditors partaking in ‘fraud’ was the underlying message.

While NFRA orders address various shortcomings, I am highlighting just a few hard observations, to depict the type of concerns the regulator is displaying.

  • Coffee Day Enterprises Ltd’s Order: I love the daily dose of caffeine shot from the Café Coffee Day’s vending machine in my office. But did not like the news of this listed company diverting over Rs 3,500 crore for personal purposes. One of the serious problems pertained to the company giving an advance of a whopping Rs 3840 crore to a related party for the purchase of coffee beans during FY 2018-19. But believe it or not, the amount of coffee actually purchased was only Rs 70 crore (even the previous year’s purchase was Rs 40 crore). It may be noted that the company Coffee Day Global Ltd, which is the sole buyer of beans and the largest group company, had the previous year’s turnover of only Rs 1800 crore. Incidentally, the Audit Committee gave prior approval for advancing only Rs 500 crore.

Just review the transaction. Giving the advance of such a mammoth sum in comparison to the actual purchases, and that too to a related party, is a definite red flag for any auditor or accountant. Doesn’t it smell fishy?

This is even without considering the adverse NFRA observations of related party transactions of over 10 percent of revenue being undertaken without shareholders’ permission; arm’s length pricing not being established; risk of material misstatements ignored; and non-matching of purchase and sale transactions between the giver and the taker, by the auditor. All signs were pointing towards company money being used for probable fund diversion. A serious ‘fraud’ red flag.

  • Anshu’s Clothing Ltd (renamed Aditri Gems & Jewels Ltd)’s case: When loans are taken by any business, the interest on the borrowed money needs to be shown as a cost in the P&L account. This is whether the loan is being serviced or not. No justification for non-provisioning of interest liability exists even if the repayment of loan liabilities is being renegotiated with the lender.

This is what happened in this listed entity where Rs 144 lakhs of interest was not provided for. Had the interest accrued been properly accounted for, the reported loss of Rs 20 lakhs for FY 2015-2016 would have been about eight times higher than what was reported. Auditors’ stand of expenses falling ‘due’ but unlikely to be ‘paid’, is no grounds for not treating it as a cost.

  • Women Next Loungeries Ltd’s case: This was a listed SME company with 70 percent public shareholding. The key concern areas were: (i) No physical verification of inventory of Rs 21 crore, though it was one-third of the balance sheet size; (ii) over one-half of the sales were made to a related party, but no verification was made about the arm’s length nature of the pricing; (iii) No balance confirmation of Debtors of Rs 40 crore, which was two-thirds of the balance sheet size; similarly Creditors’ balances were also not confirmed.

Clearly, the auditor seems to have failed to exercise normal due diligence in verifying the financial numbers.

Soft factors are not soft after all

In addition to the auditors’ failure in figuring out whether financial numbers are doctored or not, there are several softer behavioural and approach-related issues that NFRA has focussed upon. A few of them are:

  • Bartronics India Ltd’s case: The auditor failed to produce audit files in spite of repeated requests. Ignoring show-cause notices from the regulator is an undesirable stance.
  • Prabhu Steel Industries Ltd’s case: The disclosures made in the accounting statements were not in accordance with accounting standards. For instance, the company failed to prepare the ‘Consolidated’ Financial Statements though it was stated that there were Associate Companies in existence; non-preparation of Statement of Cash Flows; impairment tests not undertaken based on expected credit loss on certain assets like Trade Receivables, etc.
  • Burnpur Cement Ltd’ case: The auditor failed to carry out the ‘going concern’ test in spite of the company declaring losses, having negative net-worth and very high indebtedness. The auditor simply mentioned these under ‘matter of emphasis’ instead of qualifying the report. Basic accounting norms were sacrificed, and not following them is an unacceptable practice.

What is NFRA indicating

The instances cited here will provide you with a glimpse of NFRA’s nature of work being undertaken. Recently, NFRA organized a Webinar focussing on ‘Audit and Corporate Governance’. Along with its top brass, some experts too shared their views. I too participated in the deliberations. Arising out of the comments made by some NFRA members (views expressed were purely personal), I summarise a few of the key views worth taking note of by the NFRA members (views expressed were purely personal), accounting and auditing fraternity:

  • Auditing standards espoused from time to time, must be followed by the auditors. This is non-negotiable.
  • Two sections of Companies Act need to taken note of:

o Section 143 (9) – ‘every auditor shall comply with auditing standards’;

o Section 143 (10) – the auditing standards of ICAI will be the deemed standards unless otherwise directed by the Central Government.

  • Those charged with governance, especially the Audit Committee and the Independent Directors must play an active role in ensuring good governance. A passive role is no longer acceptable.
  • Audit documentation is often found weak. Mandatory auditing standards must be supported by appropriate documentation (auditors cannot say that verifications were made, without being able to prove that it was so done).

Last few words

Two words seem to be occupying the mind space of NFRA – ‘fraud’ and ‘auditor’. Undoubtedly, corporate frauds are the biggest economic value destroyers, and auditors are the cornerstone of good corporate governance.

Most auditors are doing a great job, and that is why the edifice of the business world especially in India is galloping. But some recalcitrant auditors are pulling many an effort, down.

The signature of auditors is one of the most powerful. Modern society is now increasingly expecting the auditing community to help make the world of business a lot cleaner and more dependable. The task is not easy, but executing very challenging tasks makes certain professional pursuits worth practising.

About the Author: Robin Banerjee is the Chairman of Nucleon Research Pvt Ltd, a global clinical research company. Earlier, he served as the Managing Director of Caprihans India Ltd. Robin has authored 3 bestselling business nonfiction books: (i) Who Cheats and How; (ii) Who Blunders and How; and (iii) Corporate Frauds: Bigger, Broader, Bolder.

Source: Economic Times (ETCFO.com)
ETCFO

August 14, 2023 0 comment
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Articles

The Battle: AI, ChatGPT VS Managers, Accountants, Auditors – Who could win?

by Robin Banerjee June 22, 2023
written by Robin Banerjee

Suddenly the world has gone topsy-turvy over the future of how people would manage knowledge, work, and execute business actions. In November 2022, the launch of the artificial intelligence-based OpenAI-created software – ChatGPT, brought in a revolution. This software can make human-like conversations, write, and make translations within seconds. In recent times, no other innovation has made so much noise as this development is generating.

The last significant financial-market euphoria was the internet innovation-led dot-com bubble during 1995-2000 when the tech-dominated Nasdaq index jumped five-fold.

The stock-market madness stems from how certain innovations would improve the lives of mankind and the investor sentiment of ‘fear of missing out’. In every instance, the bubbles burst as soon as the expectations catch up with reality.

Will the rise of artificial intelligence, especially ChatGPT create the same hysteria as was experienced earlier, or will the fizz die sooner than later? The frenzy will obviously dissolve if the potential economic impact becomes a damp squib.

ChatGPT potentially runs three big risks: – loss of jobs; biased report generation; and creation of misinformation.

The biggest question facing all of us is – Can ChatGPT-like innovations make the world a better place to live, or will they destabilize mankind?

Estimating the impact of ChatGPT-like software will involve guesswork. Let me try to paint some potential scenarios that could emerge considering the programs available as of now. You will need to note that serious changes to the current models will occur in times to come (ChatGPT-5 is expected by end-2023) and unknown potential regulatory frameworks could substantially alter the course of these tools.

Impact on Business Managers

Significant speeding up of knowledge-based assignments, legal drafting, and accelerating doctors’ diagnoses, are definite possibilities. Any research-oriented work based on iterative data analysis would get done easily and quickly.

You can expect solutions on new energy sources, and land or sea exploration productivity optimization. We could find new sources of crude-oil faster, or the nuclear-fusion energy (generating energy as Sun does) breakthrough developing quicker.

To share a few instances, Zurich Insurance Group is using ChatGPT to summarise lengthy claim papers; the toy giant Mattel is using the tool’s image generators to design new Hot Wheel toy cars. The business-world usages are already unlimited. The business-world usages are already unlimited.

The AI tool will take away jobs involving copious amounts of routine writing, number crunching like financial analysis, or computer programming like web designing. However, it is unlikely that businesses will do away with such tasks completely. GhatGPT-like programs may do a good job in making first drafts, but humans will have to validate and make them more humane for human use.Robin Banerjee, Chairman, Nucleon Research Pvt Ltd

Impact on Accountants

ChatGPT can carry out the homework of your child. If so, can it not write the reports of the Finance and Accounting teams? Yes, it can and perhaps it will do better. The program is great for extracting data and information from long documents.

But remember, the information access is from data available in the public domain – books, articles, reports, case studies, etc.

However, if the information is not available publicly, then how will ChatGPT be able to extract it, unless classified information is made available for extraction?

Will accountants lose jobs with the tool’s adoption increasing? Yes, and no. Think of the time when spreadsheets came into being around the early 1980s. It was then feared that loads of calculation-oriented and accounting jobs will be gone. But the overall employment situation did not alter. The routine accounting jobs were curtailed, but value-accretive accountants continued to be in demand.

Impact on Auditors

The life of auditors will become both simple and complex. Simple, as audit reports can be prepared faster; pre-filled forms will be extensively available. Fraud and malpractice detection can be carried out by analyzing customer behaviours in the past that led to fraud. The observed patterns can be applied to predict potentially fraudulent activity and the creation of suspicion reports.

Auditors will save time working on unstructured data sets, to figure out trends and ratios, to identify any inconsistencies in the financial numbers. This will help them to focus on complex and risky areas, rather than hunting for incongruencies….

Real-time identification of errors and mismatches could ensure superior internal auditing and a reduction in manpower deployment. ChatGPT can save a lot of audit resources by offloading repetitive and mundane tasks and helping auditors carry out more complex jobs. Routine audits are at great risk; value creation auditing will get a fillip.

The dichotomy: End of the world or otherwise?

There are two opposite views, with some saying human tasks are going to be taken over soon, while others are betting on AI intervention being another technological development creating a change in efficiency and work habits.

Just examine the contradictions. World’s second largest investment bank, Goldman Sachs has estimated that generative AI (like ChatGPT and Google’s Bard) could enhance the global GDP by a whopping 7 percent (or almost $7 trillion) within the next decade. On the other hand, it predicts that about 300 million jobs (out of a total of 3.3 billion employed) could get redundant globally. What a contrary picture!

You can expect certain segments especially the service sector to get rather adversely affected.

These could include insurance, data processing, and credit intermediation. Amongst the least possibility of affected sectors include manufacturing, mining, agriculture, forestry, food and drink services.

Some Cassandras are forecasting that AI will replace humans almost everywhere from business to battles. It could do things that we would never want them to do. They are predicting that even if humans would want AI to stop, the program would resist, self-replicate, and keep operating. It is a scary prophecy!

Few last words

Yes, ChatGPT-like programs if left autonomous, say running any city power grid or airlines program or the atomic energy system, could be catastrophic. It can cough up plausible-looking but incorrect information, directions, and conclusions. Human control and intervention could only prevent these systems from going berserk.

There is no doubt that the way we humans, have been working so far will change. How much and how far, is the key question?

Most studies are overstating the potential for automation. It is overlooking human capabilities of analyzing, controlling, and interpreting.

Plus, what about empathy and charisma? ChatGPT is unlikely to display an effective emotional quotient, though there are noises that it is doing better in cognitive training!

Irrespective of whatever is being stated, many jobs will be taken away by these new tools.

However, several tasks can possibly never be delegated to AI. Can my obituary be ever written by ChatGPT after my demise? I am wondering!

About the Author: Robin Banerjee is the Chairman of Nucleon Research Pvt Ltd, a global clinical research company. Earlier, he served as the Managing Director of Caprihans India Ltd. Robin has authored 3 bestselling business nonfiction books: (i) Who Cheats and How; (ii) Who Blunders and How; and (iii) Corporate Frauds: Bigger, Broader, Bolder.

Source: Economic Times (ETCFO.com)
ETCFO

June 22, 2023 0 comment
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Robert Banerjee

Seasoned finance expert, Robin Banerjee, Chairman of Nucleon Research Pvt Ltd, a global clinical research company. Prior to the present role, he served as the Group Chief Financial Officer of Suzlon Energy, Executive Director at Essar Steel and Thomas Cook.

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